The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association (NOAA) hosts a seminar series on Environmental Data. These “NED Talks” are recorded at the National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service (NESDIS) in Silver Spring, Maryland, and broadcasted online with live Q&A. On September 10, as part of this series, Statistics Ph.D. student, Max Schneider gave a talk entitled Visualizing Uncertainty
The goal of the work presented is to understand how different approaches to visualizing forecast uncertainty affect the ability of users to read a forecast map and make predictions about the future. The research is in collaboration with cognitive psychologists at the Max Planck Institute for Human Development in Germany. In conjunction with his PhD advisor, Peter Guttorp, Max will apply these results to models that forecast the aftershocks following a big earthquake, which he is building for earthquakes in the Pacific Northwest.
Max interned this summer at the Environmental Modeling Center within NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Prediction in College Park, MD, quantifying and visualizing uncertainty in hurricane models. While there, he was invited to record his NED talk.