Nicholas Irons (he/him)

PhD Student

UW Box Number 353100
Homepage Personal Home Page 
ORCID iD  0000-0002-9720-8259 


Causally Sound Priors for Binary Experiments
Nicholas J. Irons, Carlos Cinelli
We introduce the BREASE framework for the Bayesian analysis of randomized controlled trials with a binary treatment and a binary outcome. Approaching the…

Triangular Flows for Generative Modeling: Statistical Consistency, Smoothness Classes, and Fast Rates
Nicholas J. Irons, Meyer Scetbon, Soumik Pal, Zaid Harchaoui
Triangular flows, also known as Knöthe-Rosenblatt measure couplings, comprise an important building block of normalizing flow models for generative modeling…

Easily Computed Marginal Likelihoods from Posterior Simulation Using the THAMES Estimator
Martin Metodiev, Marie Perrot-Dockès, Sarah Ouadah, Nicholas J. Irons, Adrian E. Raftery
We propose an easily computed estimator of marginal likelihoods from posterior simulation output, via reciprocal importance sampling, combining earlier…

Adaptive Rotating-Wave Approximation for Driven Open Quantum Systems
Brian Baker, Andy C. Y. Li, Nicholas Irons, Nathan Earnest, Jens Koch
We present a numerical method to approximate the long-time asymptotic solution $\rho_∞(t)$ to the Lindblad master equation for an open quantum system…

Estimating SARS-CoV-2 Infections from Deaths, Confirmed Cases, Tests, and Random Surveys
Nicholas J. Irons, Adrian E. Raftery
There are many sources of data giving information about the number of SARS-CoV-2 infections in the population, but all have major drawbacks, including biases…

Realization of a $\Lambda$ system with metastable states of a capacitively-shunted fluxonium
Nathan Earnest, Srivatsan Chakram, Yao Lu, Nicholas Irons, Ravi K. Naik, Nelson Leung, Leo Ocola, David A. Czaplewski, Brian Baker, Jay Lawrence, Jens Koch, David I. Schuster
We realize a $\Lambda$ system in a superconducting circuit, with metastable states exhibiting lifetimes up to 8\,ms. We exponentially suppress the tunneling…