To enable valid statistical inference in prediction tasks, we show how to generate set-valued predictions with black-box models that control various notions of statistical error. Our approach guarantees that the expected loss on future test points falls…
Upcoming Seminars
Apr. 23rd, 3:30 PM
Seminar presented by Stephen BatesApr. 30th, 3:30 PM
Seminar presented by Stephen WalkerThe subjective prior distribution is often regarded as the primary source of uncertainty for the Bayesian. In this paper, we present a different perspective on Bayesian uncertainty. Given a finite sample Y1:n of size n from an infinite population, the…
May. 7th, 3:30 PM
Seminar presented by Eardi LilaHuman brains differ in their structural and functional organization across individuals. There is a long history of trying to relate either structural or functional brain features to human aspects, such as behavioral and cognitive variables. However, more…
Technical Reports
Smoking is one of the main risk factors that has affected human mortality and life expectancy over the past century. Smoking accounts for a large part of the nonlinearities in the growth of life…
Hotelling’s T2 - test for the mean of a multivariate normal distribution is one of the triumphs of classical multivariate analysis. It is uniformly most powerful among invariant tests,…
Sea ice, or frozen ocean water, annually freezes and melts in the Arctic. The need for accu- rate forecasts of where sea ice will be located weeks to months in advance has increased as the amount…
Recent News
A team based at the University of Washington has developed a model to help the United Nations identify local areas in sub-Saharan Africa and Southern Asia where additional resources may be needed to…
The Department of Statistics is pleased congratulate David Marcano, Daniel Suen, and Hassan Nasif on their success with NSF’s Graduate Research Fellowship Program (GRFP). Both Marcano and Suen have…
We are saddened and horrified by the murder of eight people in Atlanta on Tuesday, six of whom were women of Asian descent. These murders are all the more troubling in light of the wave of anti-Asian…